It’s early August, and that may solely imply one factor:date predictions! Guessing when Apple will announce the brand new iPhone isn’t all that difficult — pandemics and international provide constraints withstanding. Based mostly on a decade of dates and present situations, right here is our greatest guess and the way we determined.
iPhone occasion announcement days
Based mostly on over a decade of iPhone occasion date announcement protection on 9to5Mac, we all know just a few issues. For instance, Apple has introduced iPhone occasion dates on Mondays, Tuesdays, and Thursdays for the final 10 years.
- Monday has been the occasion announcement day one time.
- Tuesday has been the occasion announcement day 4 instances.
- Thursday has been the occasion announcement day 5 instances.
Whereas Thursday has been used essentially the most, Tuesday has been used most just lately. Nevertheless, we have to take into account extra information earlier than making a prediction.
In-person occasion or digital?
That’s as a result of the final two iPhone occasions have been held just about resulting from COVID. Most just lately, Apple has held an in-person occasion for the press with WWDC. If you happen to consider Apple will maintain the iPhone 14 occasion in individual as effectively, the info helps a Thursday announcement over a Tuesday announcement.
Right here’s what 10 years of knowledge says about distant and in-person occasion date bulletins:
- Days between occasions being introduced and occurring vary from 7 to 13.
- Tuesdays have been used with 7 or 8 days’ discover and half have been digital.
- Thursdays have been used with 11 to 13 days’ discover, together with 5 of the final 6 in-person occasions.
In-person occasions have had extra discover given to press than distant occasions, partly because of the time required for making journey lodging. For our in-person occasion prediction, we’ll decide a Thursday that’s just below two weeks away from the occasion date.
Precise occasion days
Apple has been very predictable relating to which day of the week it’s going to maintain an iPhone occasion. That is what 10 years of iPhone occasions inform us:
- iPhone occasions occurred on Tuesday or Wednesday.
- Tuesday was used for six occasions whereas Wednesday was used for 4 occasions.
- 4 of the final 5 occasions happened on Tuesday.
We additionally know that every one iPhone occasions have been held within the first half of the month, and 9 out of 10 occasions have been held in September. If we keep on with a Tuesday or Wednesday within the first half of September, we’re left with 4 doable dates:
- Tuesday, September 6
- Wednesday, September 7
- Tuesday, September 13
- Wednesday, September 14
Based mostly on Tuesday getting used extra typically, September 6 not being an iPhone date during the last decade, and the primary Tuesday of the month being sooner or later after labor day, we will safely choose Tuesday, September 13, for the iPhone 14 occasion.
A intelligent prediction can be that Apple would announce the iPhone 14 on September 14, however the mannequin quantity has solely matched the calendar date as soon as. That occurred in 2016 when Apple introduced the iPhone 7 on September 7.
iPhone 14 occasion date announcement
So the place does that go away us? Strictly as a prediction and never reporting, we will guess that the iPhone 14 occasion might be introduced on September 1 and held on September 13. That is based mostly on an assumption that an in-person occasion might be introduced on a Thursday with a couple of week’s discover.
One factor the info additionally tells us, nonetheless, is that no two iPhone occasions have been introduced and held with the identical day and date with the identical variety of days between – ever. Fortunately sufficient, there has by no means been an iPhone occasion introduced on the first and held on the thirteenth with 12 days between the 2 dates. One takeaway may very well be that there simply aren’t sufficient patterns to make an correct prediction. One other may very well be that creating a brand new set of knowledge factors is more than likely.
As for the preciseoccasion date announcement, 9to5Mac can have the true info as quickly because it goes public. Have your individual announcement and occasion date predictions? Share within the feedback.
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